A review of last week shows just one of three bets landed - but it was the Arsenal v Fulham draw at 7.00 (which I eventaully got placed at 7.32!) and so although we only had one win - it was a good payday with 3 units bet a 7.32 units returned. Job done !
Here is the sheet output for this week .
1/ Liverpool and Aston Villa to draw at odds of 4.50 with 29% chance for 131% value rating
A quick look shows that Aston Villa are in good form, they draw 1-1 here last season, so you can see it's a reasonable chance anda good value bet.
There are a few other value propositions worth looking at too :
2/ NOTTINGHAM FOREST to win or draw at Chelsea at 8.50 / 4.75 for 17% / 29% chance and 145% / 138% value.
3/ SHEFFIELD UNITED to beat Everton at odds of 3.00 with 41% chance for 123% value.
4/ ARSENAL to beat Manchester Utd at odds of 1.80 with 69% chance for 124% value.
Looking at them quickly.
Chelsea have been very average and a 3-0 win over new boys Luton doesn't fix much. Nottingham Forest have lost their first two games narrowly, 1-2 at Arsenal and 2-3 at Man United. Maybe saying Forest will win is too much but you can get around 2.75 for a bet on Forest to get at least a point (X2). Which is great value !
Then a bet on SHEFFIELD UTD (who only lost 1-2 to Man City last weekend) to beat EVERTON (who were thumped 0-4 at Villa) seems a logical conclusion - and you can get 3.00 too! I'm on it.
Finally, I bet with the sheet last week when it said Arsenal would disappoint against Fulham - so of course I'm taking it here when it says the The Gunners will come good. Arsenal have won this fixture on four of the last five occasions, and ManYoo have already lost 0-2 at Spurs this season. An Arsenal win is NOT unlikely - and the maths says better than fair value. So I'm on.
So four bets for me in the EPL this weekend, although only one recommended by the sheet. What will you take ?
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