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Friday, May 19, 2023

+EV betting with spreadsheet tips - Sat 20th May

OK - here we go again with another roundup of punts hat seem good value to me and my spreadsheet this weekend.

As always - this list is simply a list of what I'm betting on - and most of the bets are outsider bets that offer +EV betting value. They are not "sure bets", "fixed games" , or even "likely winners" - so you need to assess the information and choose what you want to follow.'

GERMAN BUNDESLIGA
Freiburg v Wolfsburg - H3 - HW is 51% @ 2.30
Hertha B v Bochum - None - HW is 53% @ 2.15
Mainz v Stuttgart - H1,H2 - HW is 58% @ 2.38
Augsburg v Dortmund - H1,H2,H3 - HW is 29% @ 7.00 (Huge value but risky)

ITALIAN SERIE A
Sassuolo v Monza - D2,D3 - Draw is 30% @ 3.60
Atalanta v Verona - D2,D3 - Draw is 26% @ 4.33
Lecce v Spezia - D1,D3 - Draw is 33% @ 3.40

ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE
Bourne v ManUtd - None - HW is 35% @ 6.00 (Huge value but system did not flag it ?!)
Wolves v Everton - None - HW is 44% @ 2.70
NottmF v Arsenal - H1 - HW is 21% @ 5.75 (Arsenal to slump after title chase ends?)

So what do you think of those bets? Are any of them worth chasing in your opinion?

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