Sunday, December 02, 2007
Italy : Weekend Betting Sheet Dec 2nd
Here is the betting spreadsheet for Sunday 2nd December in Italy.
As you can see (if you clicked the sheet above to get a copy in a seperate browser) there are no huge mismatches this weekend - with all of the game rated within a MARgin of 100 (or 1 goal on average).
But there are still a couple of games that are worth a good close look :
Parma to beat Empoli @ 2.00 at Bet365
Empoli are just 1-2-5 away from home this season and have lost 3 of their last 4 road games heavily losing 0-3 each time. Of course sandwiched in between those results is that stunning 1-0 win in the San Siro against AC Milan - but that's why they call it gambling right?
VALUE SYSTEM DRAWS
The bookmakers seem to be cottoning onto our system this month - as we've picked out three more games worth a shot - but I notice that 3.00 is about the best price that we can get now - that days of 3.20 to 3.50 are long gone.
DRAW - Torino v Genoa @ 3.00
DRAW - Catania v Palermo @ 3.00
DRAW - Cagliari v Livorno @ 3.00
As you can see all three games have a similar rating pattern with the MARgin within about 30 and none of the sides ranked at 1,000 above.
Our research has shown that generally these teams are happy to accept a draw if it's still level with 80 minutes gone - and so draws are occuring more than 1/3 of the time.
Ok. That's the lot this week - good luck.