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Friday, September 29, 2023

Value Bets 29th Sept to 2nd Oct

Afternoon - ladies and gents - thanks for coming back for another weekend of value betting.

From now on - the analysis is going to be different. I will show you the output - outline the recommended bets - and then leave it as that. If you want to as questions you can find my GoonersGuide Betting Blog here at and I'm happy to discuss.

Here is the output for all four leagues ...
I said I wouldn’t do match analysis - so I won’t.

But I will discuss the general concepts of value betting again, and this weekends bets in particular. The concept is simple, bet where the payout is better than the chances of winning suggest. It does not matter whether you think the individual bet will win this time, because over the course of the football season you will get rewards.

If you’re not sure that you trust this system yet then just take each bet for $1 online. Or whatever minimum your bookie offers.

USA and CANADA players can use BETONLINE or BOOKMAKER or BOVADA
UK / EURO / CAN / AUS / NZ can play at BET365

Track the results. See what you make of it. I understand it takes time to bet with confidence.

I have made profits in 23 of the last 25 seasons betting like this - and each of the last TEN seasons straight. I’m confident which is why I publish this advisory page. But not every bet will win. In fact only about 25-35% of bets will. And most punters cannot handle that.

Overall we will make money - at least that is always my aim.

For this weekend we have six win bets, and we need three winners for a profit - or for Wolves to pull of a shock.

We also have six draw bets, and here the prices are better so we need two draws or better to make a profit.

If you cannot get these prices at your bookie, if the odds are considerably lower, then do NOT take the bet. if the prices are higher then that’s because everyone else is rushing to back the favourites - thank your lucky stars - and then take the better odds.

Good luck - and mayben I will see you next weekend ?
;-)

Cheers !!!
Paul (The Gooner)

1 comment:

zox said...

Excellent prediction, anything over 60% is guessed.
Well done master, go ahead!