ESP - 22nd - 24th Sep 2023 - Value Betting in Spain's La Liga

¡Hola de nuevo! Let's look at Spain to examine the La Liga schedule and find some betting action that appeals.

Here is the sheet output - for the weekend and upcoming mid-week :

The spreadsheet likes just one bet on the weekend at perceived good value :
1/ ALMERIA to beat Valencia at odds of 2.90 with 43% chance for 125% value rating.

Let’s take a look at it now.

Let's just say that it's a bet that ONLY a spreadsheet could love. Almeria are rock bottom of La Liga with an 0-1-4 record and there is little sign of a home win coming. They might win. But even though the current price is good value I'd want a wee bit more before I take a team at the bottom of the league to get their first win. A bet to avoid.

And that's it. One bet highlighted by the spreadsheet and I've rubbished it. Everything else is well priced by the bookies - which is actually a good sign that the "spreadie" has accurately evaluated this round because the bookies agree with it. Sometimes the best bet is no bet at all.

I'll be back on Monday afternoon to look at all the midweek action.

Good Luck.