Here is the sheet output for this weekend of football in Serie A :
1/ CAGLIARI to beat Udinese at odds of 2.88 with 42% chance for 121% value.
2/ FIORENTINA to beat Atalanta at odds of 2.40 with 45% chance for 108% value.
3/ EMPOLI to win or draw at AS Roma are odds of 2.75 with 41% chance for 113% value.
Both Cagliari (H 1-0-5) and Udinese (A 0-1-5) have awful home /away form. Udinese are slightly stronger, but with home advantage we favour Cagliari as 42% likely to eke out a win.
Fiorentina at home are always a tough task, and the sheet likes them as 45% chance to win, so the price of 2.40 is worth taking.
Finally, while AS Roma will probably finally get a win this season, getting paid nearly 3.00 betting against a team that is 0-1-2 to not win is a pretty good bet to consider.
And that's it. Three bets to choose from - if you take two of them you only need one to win to collect a profit. I'll take all three.
Buona fortuna, amici
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