Paddy Power are offering short odds of 5/6 (1.83) that Curiosity will indeed be successful in finding evidence of past life on Mars before the end of 2020. However, proof of intelligent life being found is considered a far less likely 20/1 shot according to their odds.
Will NASA's Curiosity Rover prove past life on Mars?>> 5/6 Yes
>> 5/6 No
(Applies to proof of any organism existing on Mars. Must be confirmed by NASA by the end of 2020)
|Click picture for full sized version|
Will NASA's Curiosity Rover prove past intelligent life on Mars?>> 20/1 Yes
>> 1/80 No
(Applies to proof of any extra-terrestrial intelligent life on Mars. Must be confirmed by NASA by the end of 2020)
Note - that the picture to the right is not proof - it's fake :-)
In other extra-terrestrial betting news, USA remains the 4/1 favourite, ahead of both Russia and China, to be the first country to establish direct ‘first contact’ with an intelligent alien civilisation.
Which country will have first contact?4/1 USA
25/1 South Africa
A spokesperson from Paddy Power said “We’ve been inundated with requests over the past 48-hours for betting on whether the Curiosity Rover proves past life on Mars. It may be just wishful thinking but 100% of all bets placed so far have been on a positive outcome.”
Paddy Power is Ireland’s largest bookmaker and a leading provider of gaming services in the UK, Australia, France, Canada, Italy and Ireland. Founded in 1988 Paddy Power is a publicly quoted company and is listed on both the Irish and London Stock Exchanges