Tuesday, May 06, 2008
Betting in Spain
A spreadsheet test for Wednesday evening as there are 6 games in Spain where the home side is the favoured result (between 40-50%) but not strong enough to be a likely pick - and they are also priced at over 100% value.
Real Madrid to beat Barcelona @ 2.40 = 134%
Valencia to beat Zaragoza @ 2.10 = 107%
Real Murcia to beat Bilbao @ 3.20 = 141%
Mallorca to beat Osasuna @ 2.20 = 108%
Real Betis to beat Valladolid @ 2.30 = 117%
Santander to beat Sevilla @ 2.65 = 130%
All picks are priced above evens so we will need three home wins in order to make a profit. Note that I'm not saying that they all win - I'm relying on numbers through all SIX games here to make a profit.
Average price calculations suggest around a 22% yield return - by getting best prices. If you settle for lessor odds then you lower the yield.
Will the home sides deliver for us on Wednesday night?
RELATED LINKS :
Gooners Betting Spreadsheet output
And get Live Spanish Football Betting Odds