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Tuesday, May 01, 2007

The Picks Sheet - UEFA - 1/2 May

UEFA Champions League Semi-final Data Sheet


Champions League Data Sheet
There should be nothing too surprising in that sheet - as none of the sides are picked as a "likely" winner - but there are two "value" bets.

TUESDAY - Liverpool v Chelsea
The sheet says that there is almost nothing to call between these two sides at Anfield (1033 v 1029) and so the draw is considered the most likely result as it occurred 35% of the time (in 57 similar games previously) and the 3.20 price on THE DRAW looks the value bet.

WEDNESDAY - AC Milan v Manchester Utd
Manchester United are not ranked highly by the sheet when they play away - which is not surprising given that they've lost away at both Celtic and Copenhagen this season and only won twice in their last 13 European trips.

The Italian side is perceived as a 55% chance to win (based on over 250 similar Euro ratings) not strong enough to be a recommended winner but the 2.25 odds on offer at PinnacleSports on AC MILAN looks worth a value bet - statistically speaking at least ...

Good luck with your midweek bets.